Decline and poleward shift in Indian summer monsoon synoptic activity in a warming climate

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Decline and poleward shift in Indian summer monsoon synoptic activity in a warming climate

Cyclonic atmospheric vortices of varying intensity, collectively known as low-pressure systems (LPS), travel northwest across central India and produce more than half of the precipitation received by that fertile region and its ∼600 million inhabitants. Yet, future changes in LPS activity are poorly understood, due in part to inadequate representation of these storms in current climate models. ...

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Synoptic scale disturbances of the Indian summer monsoon as simulated in a high resolution climate model

The Hamburg atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM3 at T106 resolution (1.125' lat.Aon.) has considerable skill in reproducing the observed seasonal reversal of mean sea level pressure, the location of the summer heat low as well as the position of the monsoon trough over the Indian subcontinent. The present-day climate and its seasonal cycle are realistically simulated by the model over t...

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In this work, the authors investigate changes in the interannual relationship between the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) and the tropical Indian Ocean (IO) in the late 1970s. By contrasting the correlations of the EASM index (EASMI) with the summer IO sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) between 1953–1975 and 1978–2000, a pronounced different correlation pattern is found in the tropical IO....

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NOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE Timing of El Niño–Related Warming and Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall

The relationship between all-India summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR) and the timing of (El Niño– Southern Oscillation) ENSO-related warming/cooling is investigated, using observational data during the period from 1881 to 1998. The analysis of the evolutions of Indo-Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies suggests that when ISMR is not below normal despite the co-occurrence of an El Niño ev...

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

سال: 2018

ISSN: 0027-8424,1091-6490

DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1709031115